Left coast selections

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statik

Del Mar Picks 7/18/07

Del Mar:



Race 1: Unusual Suspect- Nice numbers coming into this event and should get a good trip with the speed thats in the gate with him. Smith had a great last week at Hollywood and looks to get Del Mar off to an even better start. 5/1 ML



Race 2: Lady Leftennant-easy work over the track on the 13th of July and ran a much improved race against these in her last race. 7/2 ML



Race 3: Coast Guard- The fact that this horse is a decent price on the ML is a testament to the quality of this maiden race. You have a half to Roman Ruler and El Corredor in the 1 horse who sold for 4.6 million as a yearling and the 7 horse who is a 3/4 brother to Floridia Derby and Bluegrass winner Harlan's Holiday. But the 5 horse my pick Coast Guard has a 1/52 bullet over the new polytrack in his most recent work and is by the good first out sire Stormy Atlantic. 4/1 ML



Race 4: Law Breaker- First-time on the turf for this son of Silver Deputy out of a Kingmambo mare and has good early pace, though I don't believe he'll be on the lead. Gets my money. 5/1 ML



Race 5: Cool Hand Lucca- Second time in for a tag and a slight drop in class should do the trick for this horse. 5/2 ML



Race 6: Naughtylilhottie- Baffert sends out this filly. She's been running against better and gets talamo back aboard for this trip. Pace looks good for her. 9/2 ML



Race 7: Yario- the bris PP's I have say this horse was off a bit slow, no threat...but that wasn't quite true. He did break slow, but cut over to the rail right after the start and saved ground to the middle of the backstretch, he made a nice move along the rail and even ran passed eventual winner Worldly, but a horse in front of him suddenly stopped and did the moon walk to the back of the pack. This horse was making a move that I've seen win many turf races, he just didn't have the luck. Couple that with what I feel is a easier group, and you have a nice selection. 4/1 ML



Race 8: Sabio- this horse is a pure pace play, he's got 21flat and 43 flat type speed and could use that to his advantage from his inside post if the new surface is playing for speed. He's got two sharp works coming into this race and his connection's thought enough of him to ship him to EVD in Louisiana for a 5f stakes race in his last start. 10/1 ML



Race 9: Miss Josiey Wales- This filly was claimed out of her last race from Mullins and while that isn't always the best play back, she goes to Gallagher's barn and for me thats more of a sideway's move. She won her last race in easy fashion, had her ears pricked all the way down the backstretch and circled the field around the turn. 8/1 ML







Looks like a nice opening day card. May the luck be with you.



Statik

Hollywood Park Picks 7/15/07

Holly:

Race 1: One Union- ran a good second against the favorite in here in his last race, has been working well in the mornings and should go off at a fair price. 3/1 ML

Race 2: Filled with hope-this filly is coming out of tougher races it looks like and should get a good ride by Valdivia. 3/1 ML

Race 3: Excessive Tale-throw out the last race where she was way over matched and you have a filly that rate right up with the best in this contest. 8/1 ML

Race 4: Gotham Devil-like the way the Gotham City's have been handling themselves. This horse gets a top rider for its debut and has an excellent look work tab. 7/2 ML

Race 5: Macadamia-this filly has finished behind Valbeeny ,Passified, and Super Freaky in her recent starts. I smell an odds on favorite. 2/1 ML

Race 6: Norway House- I tried to find a way to beat this short priced horse in here, but I couldn't do it. Perhaps the 6 horse Loving type with a race or two under his belt, but not today.

Race 7: Megabyte-I think the switch to the grass and a drop in class is going to wake this horse up. If he runs back to his form a from a few months ago, he could be tough. 8/1 ML

Race 8: Tolnai- First time U.S for sadler, looks good with the outside draw. 2/1 ML

Race 9: Fitz Flag-the 12f is more in this horses wheelhouse and he's going to get a good stalking trip, hard to look past the fav's in here, but this entry has a shot. 6/1 ML

Race 10: High Speed Goldie-gets away from better and the turf and has talamo about for the first time, the drop in class my wake this filly up a bit also. 5/1 ML

Race 11: Stop the Humor-love the stretch out in here for this filly. She's been running against much tougher going short and looks to take this field from gate wire. 6/1 ML

Hollywood Picks 7/8/07

Holly:

Race 1: Noble Masterpiece- horse should get the pace to run at and Sherman has been tough when sending out entries in So. Cal. Landeros doesn't get many mounts, but he's a capable rider on the rider horse. 9/5 ML

Race 2: Cotorra- this filly has plenty of tactical speed for this 6f turf and the numbers look good against the favorites in this field. Gets Court on the turf. 5/1 ML

Race 3: Watch Over Me- chalk with a pace advantage, this would be my single in Pk3's and PK 4's and look for a price in the other legs. 8/5 ML

Race 4: Spring Awakening- Talamo was on fire yesterday and rides this firster for Mitchell who's had a great hollywood meet. First time starter by In Excess out of a Carson City mare. 3/1 ML

Race 5: Wellnessfast- this filly has been running well against similar and gets Talamo aboard, should get a good stalking trip. 6/1 ML

Race 6: Happy Celyna-this filly's been running against better and I look for her to improve here, should keep out of trouble from the outside post and make a run coming to the 1/4 pole. 15/1 ML

Race 7: Miss Bertrando- Potts is going to be riding high after his big day yesterday in florida and I expect him to continue here. 7/2 ML

Race 8: Latin Rhythms- Ellis + Valdivia= 25%. You'll have to get a shovel to find this horses odds. 9/5 ML

Race 9: Tribal Fire- by the fast but fragile horse Tribal Rule out of a Bertrando mare. Should do well first out and gets underrated apprentice rider Rosario. Jones is also capable. 12/1 ML

Hollywood Park Picks 7/7/07

Holly:

Race 1: Temecula Creek-Frankel sends out this entry and gets Bejarano on board. Numbers look competative in this group, should get a good trip and the pace to run at.

Race 2: Tiz A Fire- Talamo should have this entry in a good spot with tactical speed from the outside and Jones has had a positive meet at Hollywood this summer. Looks good at 5/1 ML

Race 3: Nashoba's Key- I hate races like this, 4 horse field and the favorite looks like she should be 7/5. Improving runner with possible sights set on bigger fall races.

Race 4: Gentle Romeo- first time starter for sheriffs, gets Migliore aboard. A note on this race: its very very wide open.

Race 5: Jitterbug Ball- can't get around this horse in here, get your dancing shoes on.

Race 6: Inclusive-Jock/trainer are hitting at over 20% together. This colt walked out of the gate in his first start and still only got beat 4 lengths.

Race 7: Kneeling Pride-Lobo has been on fire this summmer and he goes to a rider thats been getting price horses to the winner's circle.

Race 8: Kendargent- Canani horse making US debut, I suspect the word is out and this horse will be bet six feet under.

Race 9: Silent Name- synthetic track freak

Race 10: Valbenny- this filly has blossomed since coming states side and has a couple of nice wins over the track, should love the 10f.

Race 11: Numismatist- horse ran great last out and should improve with the O'Neill second out program.

Hollywood Picks 7/6/07

Holly:

Race 1: Olympic Miler-coming off of a freshing and looks to be the speed in this contest. Gets gate rider Martin Pedroza and Sadler has been going great guns of late.

Race 2: Warren's Dream-how about this first time starter in an average type of field, good win early pedigree by Lake George out of an Avenue of Flags mare. Patient rider Valdivia takes the call.

Race 3: Passified- Can't get around the favoite in here, looks like the speed.

Race 4: A Dubai- Nakatani rarely riders for Beccera so I find it intriguing that he shows up on this firster for him. LIke the Pedigree going 6.5 furlongs- E Dubai out of a Sham mare.

Race 5: Alexandra Rose-I can't possibly take Price Tag at well...the price, though I think she can be tough in this field. My Pick the south african filly has run some decent races and is a powerfully built filly, should be rolling late.

Race 6: Johnny Eves-won't get the 8-1 morning line but I like this one.

Race 7: Somethingaboutlaura- taking a shot here against the deserving favorite, but I think that this entry has the tactical advantage and has the talent to win against these types.

Race 8: Smudgeledo- hoping this horse can shake loose and takes these to the wire. Gets Talamo aboard, the #8 is going to take alot of money, should get a good price.

Race 9: Handsome Michael K- I think foley is sitting on his second winner of the meet with this one.

Philly Park Picks 7/3/07

Philly:

Race 1: Party with Paris-hate the name but this horse looks like tops in here with the recent races.

Race 2: Lady Cassandra-this is not the best group of horses here, but this filly ran a creditable race against the favorite in her last start and pennington stays on board.

Race 3: Bombed Again-this horse is coming in out of md 25k claiming and has a nice 48.2 work in his most recent looks tough at 8-5.

Race 4: Pull My Chain-this horse comes in from charles town and has been in the money each of he last 5 races including a win and a loss at this level by a nose. Like this horse here.

Race 5: Badagain- nice work tab here for this 2yo son of Pine Bluff, looks tough in this race.

Race 6: Adorable Jane- with 4 straight second place finishes its hard to pull the trigger on this filly at the price, but it looks like she's found her friends this time out.

Race 7: Alks Boy- Gurrero has this gelding in great form and has been spacing his races very well, look for the three wins in a row to become 4.

Race 8: Tazaliya-been running against much better and should have a favorable pace to run into.

Race 9: Johnny Spreadsheet-comes in from Monmouth off of a good third against similar. A note on this race; if the 11 gets in he could be very tough.

Race 10: Azulyekit- this horse ran a credible race last out against a tough customer at Delaware Park and has three good recent runs. 10-1 morning line is an attractive price.

Philly/Hollywood ROI's

Philly: +5.60

Hollywood: +1.40

ROI's based on $2 to win on each pick.