Wednesday, April 13, 2011

Aqueduct Selections: 4/13/11

Race 1: #3 Good Luck Lucy-2/1ML- I expect the 2 horse to take most of the play in here and leave this 3 horse as the best value in the race. Should get a good trip just off the speed.

Race 2: #2 Bwana Babe-2/1ML- I actually love the straight 1 in here, Halo Hollie, but the entry mate will kill all value and the 2 fits well in this race. Should provide the best value.

Race 3: #5 Zio Tony-12/1ML- Looking over this race, I just have a feeling that a price will emerge from this small field. This horse has good class ratings, quick 12 day turn around says he's ready to fire.

Race 4: #7 Dorian Will-6/1ML- The favorite looks strong in here, but it's hard to take 8/5 in a 14 horse field. The 7 has a tactical advantage and should get the jump on the 11. I expect a good price on this horse.

Race 5: #2 How's Bayou-2/5ML- Yeah, lone speed, class of the field and a jockey/trainer combo that hits at over 20%. Skip this race for straight bets, unless you can find value in horizontal plays.

Race 6: !/1a Banker's Buy-5/2ML- Zito entry looks strong in this mid-week stakes race.

Race 7: #8 Tutti Va Bene-25/1ML- Bombs Away. Not sure we'll get all of that morning line, this line seemed a bit off in this race. Expect 8 or 9 to 1.

Race 8: #6 Alla Prima-12/1ML-Zito and Lopez haven't teamed up with much success yet, but this filly has the best speed in the field and fits well in this class level. Should be a very fair price.

Race 9: #12 Glory Wit A Story-5/2ML- This bottom level Maiden turf races are always super tough. Only three horses have tried the distance before. This one is the best of that group.

No comments: